Immutable archive edition
Edition · 2026-08-17
- Composed
- Aug 17, 2026, 05:14 PM UTC
- Last verified update
- 3 days ago
- Record class
- public permanent
- First published
- Aug 17, 2026, 05:14 PM UTC
- Payload SHA-256
- 08ccd1dec7ca39be…
- Lifecycle
- superseded · 2 events
- 01publishedsection_refresh1f63652a →
- 02supersededsection_refresh2074ab3a →
- Active Sections
- 2
- Verified signals
- 30
- Live changes
- 20
- Last material update
- 3 days ago
- Snapshot
- 4be3c9a9
Lead signal · Expectations
Track topic →Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
-27pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Observed
YES moved down by 27.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signals
3 Verified
Secondary signal · Expectations
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
39.5%→33.5%-6pp
ObservedYES moved down by 6.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Expectations
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?
82%→93.5%+11.6pp
ObservedYES moved up by 11.6 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Rules
Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL
not published→final
ObservedAmendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
Live signal feed
Most recent first
Significant changes
Verified changes impacting monitored signals
Probability move
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
YES moved down by 4.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Archive snapshots
Archive
Chronological, immutable publication record.