Evidence before presentation

How Open Signal makes a public claim

The interface is not the authority. Every visible conclusion points back to a versioned Claim, its evidence bundle, its lineage, and the snapshot in which it appeared.

The epistemic stack

Three layers that must not collapse into one another

01

Observation

What the source directly records: a probability move, a rule-state change, a publication, a trial update, or another time-stamped event.

02

Analysis

What can be derived from those records: comparisons, persistence, relationships, calculations, and the limits of the available window.

03

Assessment

What Open Signal concludes, at what confidence, under which Charter and model version, with uncertainty and counterevidence left visible.

Publication lifecycle

From source record to public surface

  1. Source

    Adapters preserve raw public records and source timestamps.

  2. Candidate

    Detectors identify material changes without deciding what they mean.

  3. Claim

    A Charter Agent or deterministic builder produces a bounded proposition and evidence bundle.

  4. Verification

    Gates check provenance, freshness, contradiction, duplication, lineage, and display safety.

  5. Edition

    The compiler selects verified Render Plans and publishes a complete immutable snapshot.

Interface contract

Different actions have different destinations

Signal title
Leaves the snapshot for the permanent, crawlable Signal record.
Evidence
Opens a temporary Overlay for quick verification without losing reading context.
Topic
Opens the long-lived canonical question, its source markets, rules, and related Signals.
Edition
Reconstructs a complete historical publication state; it is never a hidden homepage section.

Freshness and retirement

No artificial “today” boundary

Sections refresh when their own pipelines produce verified material. A still-valid Section can remain visible with its original timestamp; once its policy-defined validity or hard retirement boundary is reached, the compiler removes it and republishes a complete page. It does not invent a replacement to fill an empty slot.