Immutable archive edition
Edition · 2026-08-20
- Composed
- Aug 20, 2026, 04:17 AM UTC
- Last verified update
- 3 hours ago
- Record class
- public permanent
- First published
- Aug 20, 2026, 04:17 AM UTC
- Payload SHA-256
- 37f28b4dba4204a3…
- Lifecycle
- superseded · 2 events
- 01publishedsection_refresh53807261 →
- 02supersededsection_refresh264189da →
- Active Sections
- 2
- Verified signals
- 30
- Live changes
- 20
- Last material update
- 3 hours ago
- Snapshot
- e2be16b7
Lead signal · Expectations
Track topic →Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Observed
YES moved up by 19.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signals
3 Verified
Secondary signal · Expectations
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
4.8%→44.3%+39.5pp
ObservedYES moved up by 39.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Expectations
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
40.0%→99.6%+59.5pp
ObservedYES moved up by 59.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Rules
Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL
not published→final
ObservedAmendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
Live signal feed
Most recent first
Significant changes
Verified changes impacting monitored signals
Probability move
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
YES moved up by 11.6 percentage points over 24 hours.
+11.6pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Archive snapshots
Archive
Chronological, immutable publication record.