不可變的典藏期次
期次 · 2026-08-20
- 編製時間
- 2026年8月20日 上午04:17 [UTC]
- 最近驗證更新
- 3 小時前
- 紀錄類別
- 永久公開紀錄
- 首次發布
- 2026年8月20日 上午04:17 [UTC]
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- 生命週期
- 已發布 · 1 個事件
- 有效區段
- 2
- 已驗證訊號
- 30
- 即時變化
- 20
- 最近實質更新
- 3 小時前
- 快照
- e2be16b7
次要訊號
3 已驗證
次要訊號 · 預期變化
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
4.8%→44.3%+39.5pp
觀測YES moved up by 39.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
次要訊號 · 預期變化
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
40.0%→99.6%+59.5pp
觀測YES moved up by 59.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
次要訊號 · 規則變化
Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL
未發布→已定案
觀測Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
即時訊號
最新在前
重大變化
影響受監測訊號的已驗證變化
類型Change來源信心程度證據驗證時間
預期變化Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?YES moved up by 19.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gamma高3 小時前
預期變化Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?YES moved up by 39.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gamma高3 小時前
預期變化Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?YES moved up by 11.6 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gamma高3 小時前
預期變化Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?YES moved down by 5.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gamma高4 小時前
預期變化Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?YES moved up by 35.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gamma高4 小時前
預期變化Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?YES moved up by 11.9 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gamma高4 小時前
預期變化Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?YES moved down by 8.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gamma高5 小時前
預期變化Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?YES moved down by 5.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gamma高5 小時前
機率變動
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
YES moved up by 11.6 percentage points over 24 hours.
2.4%→14.0%+11.6 個百分點
+11.6pp · 24h僅顯示方向 · 缺少完整七天歷史
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