- 出版狀態
- 即時
- 有效區段
- 2
- 已驗證主張
- 94
- 來源觀測
- 20
- 研究篩選
- 1
- 24 小時紀錄
- 19565
- 快照擷取
- 19 分鐘前
🔬 研究篩選
1 個符合資格的公開監測 · 並非 Claims
試驗組合 · investigated
Oncology immunotherapy trials span Phase 1 and Phase 2篩選脈絡Oncology immunotherapy3 筆來自 ClinicalTrials.gov 的公開紀錄；尚非 Claim。
Anhui Provincial Hospital + 2 other sponsorsCross-sectional phase coverage
→ 2 phases · 3 studiesRegistry portfolio as of Aug 2026 · 3 records · ClinicalTrials.gov
次要訊號
3 已驗證
次要訊號 · 預期變化
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
26%→36%+10pp
觀測YES moved up by 10.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
次要訊號 · 預期變化
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?
71.0%→33.6%-37.5pp
觀測YES moved down by 37.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
次要訊號 · 規則變化
Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL
not published→final
觀測Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
↗ 即時訊號帶
4 筆已驗證 · 8 個受監測主題 · 已去重
19%↗ +2.5pp · 24h
僅方向⏱ 49 天後
30%↘ -3.5pp · 24h
7d · 185 obs⏱ 5 個月後
74%↗ +2pp · 24h
僅方向⏱ 3 個月後
3.4%↘ -1.8pp · 24h
7d · 145 obs⏱ 20 天後
28.5%↗ +21pp · 24h
7d · 169 obs⏱ 4 天後
36%↗ +10pp · 24h
7d · 171 obs⏱ 20 天後
52.5%↗ +5pp · 24h
7d · 169 obs⏱ 5 個月後
來源 · geopoliticsWill Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
5.5%↘ -3pp · 24h
7d · 169 obs⏱ 50 天後
已驗證判斷帳本
12 筆有效 Claim 紀錄 · 無重複投影
編輯台Claim變動信心程度證據驗證時間
↗up direction · 預期變化The YES probability for Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? increased by 0.7 percentage points over the past 24 hours.Polymarket Gammaderived observation · verified+0.7pphigh
↗up direction · 預期變化The YES probability for US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? increased by 1.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours.Polymarket Gammaderived observation · verified+1.0pphigh
↗up direction · 預期變化The YES probability for US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? increased by 2.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.Polymarket Gammaderived observation · verified+2.5pphigh
↗up direction · 預期變化The YES probability for Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? increased by 1.4 percentage points over the past 24 hours.Polymarket Gammaderived observation · verified+1.4pphigh
↗up direction · 預期變化The YES probability for Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? increased by 1.6 percentage points over the past 24 hours.Polymarket Gammaderived observation · verified+1.6pphigh
↗up direction · 預期變化The YES probability for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? increased by 1.6 percentage points over the past 24 hours.Polymarket Gammaderived observation · verified+1.6pphigh
↗up direction · 預期變化The YES probability for Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? increased by 1.8 percentage points over the past 24 hours.Polymarket Gammaderived observation · verified+1.8pphigh
↗up direction · 預期變化The YES probability for US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? increased by 2.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours.Polymarket Gammaderived observation · verified+2.0pphigh
↘down direction · 預期變化The YES probability for Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31? decreased by 1.8 percentage points over the past 24 hours.Polymarket Gammaderived observation · verified-1.8pphigh
↗up direction · 預期變化The YES probability for US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? increased by 2.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours.Polymarket Gammaderived observation · verified+2.0pphigh
↘down direction · 預期變化The YES probability for Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? decreased by 3.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.Polymarket Gammaderived observation · verified-3.5pphigh
↗up direction · 預期變化The YES probability for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? increased by 2.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.Polymarket Gammaderived observation · verified+2.5pphigh
⚖ 規則監測
已標準化的來源事實
Rule
International Services Surveys: BE-180 Benchmark Survey of Financial Services Transactions Between U.S. Financial Services Providers and Foreign Personsnot published→final
Federal Register
Rule
Retail Commodity Transactions Involving Certain Digital Assetsnot published→final
Federal Register
Rule
Custody of Digital Asset Securities by Special Purpose Broker-Dealersnot published→final
Federal Register
Rule
Cybersecurity Talent Management Systemnot published→final
Federal Register
Rule
Copyright Registration Guidance: Works Containing Material Generated by Artificial Intelligencenot published→final
Federal Register
Rule
Reporting of Securities Loansnot published→final
Federal Register
Rule
Further Definition of “As a Part of a Regular Business” in the Definition of Dealer and Government Securities Dealer in Connection With Certain Liquidity Providersnot published→final
Federal Register
Rule
Multi-Pollutant Emissions Standards for Model Years 2027 and Later Light-Duty and Medium-Duty Vehiclesnot published→final
Federal Register
◌ 來源涵蓋
原始攝取 · 僅供脈絡，不是已發布 Claims