Immutable archive edition
Edition · 2026-08-20
- Composed
- Aug 20, 2026, 06:16 AM UTC
- Last verified update
- 2 hours ago
- Record class
- public permanent
- First published
- Aug 20, 2026, 06:16 AM UTC
- Payload SHA-256
- 37cca2784c73c9a9…
- Lifecycle
- superseded · 2 events
- 01publishedsection_refreshe2be16b7 →
- 02supersededsection_refresh7e31a428 →
- Active Sections
- 2
- Verified signals
- 30
- Live changes
- 20
- Last material update
- 2 hours ago
- Snapshot
- 264189da
Lead signal · Expectations
Track topic →Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
Observed
YES moved down by 12.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signals
3 Verified
Secondary signal · Expectations
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?
93.1%→98.3%+5.2pp
ObservedYES moved up by 5.2 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Expectations
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
40.0%→99.6%+59.5pp
ObservedYES moved up by 59.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Rules
Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL
not published→final
ObservedAmendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
Live signal feed
Most recent first
Significant changes
Verified changes impacting monitored signals
Probability move
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES moved down by 6.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
-6pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Archive snapshots
Archive
Chronological, immutable publication record.