Immutable archive edition
Edition · 2026-08-15
- Composed
- Aug 15, 2026, 04:14 AM UTC
- Last verified update
- 5 days ago
- Record class
- public permanent
- First published
- Aug 15, 2026, 04:14 AM UTC
- Payload SHA-256
- a77d3c1586c9a0bb…
- Lifecycle
- superseded · 2 events
- 01publishedsection_refresh92b2ddc2 →
- 02supersededsection_refreshedf24d80 →
- Active Sections
- 2
- Verified signals
- 30
- Live changes
- 20
- Last material update
- 5 days ago
- Snapshot
- c781e77b
Lead signal · Expectations
Track topic →Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Observed
YES moved up by 8.8 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signals
3 Verified
Secondary signal · Expectations
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
22.5%→14.5%-8pp
ObservedYES moved down by 8.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Rules
2-Propenoic Acid, 2-Methyl-, Telomer With 1-Dodecanethiol, and 2-Methyloxirane Polymer With Oxirane Monoether With 1,2-Propanediol Mono(2-Methyl-2-Propenoate) in Pesticide Formulations; Exemption From the Requirement for a Tolerance
not published→final
Observed2-Propenoic Acid, 2-Methyl-, Telomer With 1-Dodecanethiol, and 2-Methyloxirane Polymer With Oxirane Monoether With 1,2-Propanediol Mono(2-Methyl-2-Propenoate) in Pesticide Formulations; Exemption From the Requirement for a Tolerance is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
Secondary signal · Rules
Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL
not published→final
ObservedAmendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
Live signal feed
Most recent first
Significant changes
Verified changes impacting monitored signals
Probability move
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
YES moved down by 5.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
Archive snapshots
Archive
Chronological, immutable publication record.