Immutable archive edition
Edition · 2026-08-14
- Composed
- Aug 14, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC
- Last verified update
- 5 days ago
- Record class
- public permanent
- First published
- Aug 14, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC
- Payload SHA-256
- dfe6b142a65c8a2a…
- Lifecycle
- superseded · 2 events
- 01publishedsection_refresh3c7c7826 →
- 02supersededsection_refreshb41a72cb →
- Active Sections
- 2
- Verified signals
- 30
- Live changes
- 20
- Last material update
- 5 days ago
- Snapshot
- 9d33564b
Lead signal · Expectations
Track topic →Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Observed
YES moved up by 8.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signals
3 Verified
Secondary signal · Expectations
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
38.5%→31.5%-7pp
ObservedYES moved down by 7.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Rules
2-Propenoic Acid, 2-Methyl-, Telomer With 1-Dodecanethiol, and 2-Methyloxirane Polymer With Oxirane Monoether With 1,2-Propanediol Mono(2-Methyl-2-Propenoate) in Pesticide Formulations; Exemption From the Requirement for a Tolerance
not published→final
Observed2-Propenoic Acid, 2-Methyl-, Telomer With 1-Dodecanethiol, and 2-Methyloxirane Polymer With Oxirane Monoether With 1,2-Propanediol Mono(2-Methyl-2-Propenoate) in Pesticide Formulations; Exemption From the Requirement for a Tolerance is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
Secondary signal · Rules
Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL
not published→final
ObservedAmendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
Live signal feed
Most recent first
Significant changes
Verified changes impacting monitored signals
Probability move
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
YES moved down by 8.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Archive snapshots
Archive
Chronological, immutable publication record.