Immutable archive edition
Edition · 2026-08-14
- Composed
- Aug 14, 2026, 07:15 PM UTC
- Last verified update
- 6 days ago
- Record class
- public permanent
- First published
- Aug 14, 2026, 07:15 PM UTC
- Payload SHA-256
- c0f477d1597e7b34…
- Lifecycle
- superseded · 2 events
- 01publishedsection_refreshb1ec90e9 →
- 02supersededsection_refresh2bad0495 →
- Active Sections
- 2
- Verified signals
- 30
- Live changes
- 20
- Last material update
- 6 days ago
- Snapshot
- 0b156c37
Lead signal · Expectations
Track topic →Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
-15.5pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Observed
YES moved down by 15.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signals
3 Verified
Secondary signal · Expectations
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
70.5%→62.5%-8pp
ObservedYES moved down by 8.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Rules
2-Propenoic Acid, 2-Methyl-, Telomer With 1-Dodecanethiol, and 2-Methyloxirane Polymer With Oxirane Monoether With 1,2-Propanediol Mono(2-Methyl-2-Propenoate) in Pesticide Formulations; Exemption From the Requirement for a Tolerance
not published→final
Observed2-Propenoic Acid, 2-Methyl-, Telomer With 1-Dodecanethiol, and 2-Methyloxirane Polymer With Oxirane Monoether With 1,2-Propanediol Mono(2-Methyl-2-Propenoate) in Pesticide Formulations; Exemption From the Requirement for a Tolerance is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
Secondary signal · Rules
Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL
not published→final
ObservedAmendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
Live signal feed
Most recent first
Significant changes
Verified changes impacting monitored signals
Probability move
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
YES moved up by 7.4 percentage points over 24 hours.
Archive snapshots
Archive
Chronological, immutable publication record.