- Record class
- public permanent
- First published
- Aug 12, 2026, 11:16 PM UTC
- Payload SHA-256
- 7204b6d3b22f4d23…
- Lifecycle
- superseded · 2 events
- 01publishedsection_refreshc65c087a →
- 02supersededsection_refresh055f198e →
- Active Sections
- 2
- Verified signals
- 30
- Live changes
- 20
- Last material update
- 19 hours ago
- Snapshot
- 6cc3e226
21.5%→63.5%· 24h
7d · 169 source observations · no interpolationObserved
YES moved up by 42.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Source Polymarket GammaConfidence highEvidence 1Data as of 19 hours agoTopicSignal record Secondary signals
3 Verified
Secondary signal · Expectations
27%→19%-8pp
ObservedYES moved down by 8.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Source Polymarket GammaConfidence highEvidence 1Data as of 19 hours agoTopicSignal record Secondary signal · Expectations
71.0%→33.6%-37.5pp
ObservedYES moved down by 37.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
Source Polymarket GammaConfidence highEvidence 1Data as of 3 days agoAging · still validTopicSignal record Secondary signal · Rules
not published→final
ObservedAmendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
Source Transportation Department, Federal Aviation AdministrationConfidence highEvidence 1Data as of 7 days agoAging · still validSignal record Live signal feed
Most recent first
↓ down↑ up↑ up↓ down↓ down↓ down↑ up↓ down↓ down↓ down↓ down↑ up↑ up↑ up↓ down↓ down↑ up↑ up↓ down↓ down TypeChangeSourceConfidenceEvidenceVerified
31.5%→24%-7.5 percentage points
↘-7.5pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Source Polymarket GammaConfidence highEvidence 1Data as of 19 hours agoTopicSignal record Chronological, immutable publication record.
ComposedSectionsClaimsTriggerStateSnapshot
2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished5200f402 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished69a4db32 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublishedea116840 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublishedf7a77ccf 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublishede03865e9 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished24be73a3 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished3f7d946b 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished691618ba 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished23416207 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished42cc990d 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished06ccb97f 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished539d9935