- Record class
- public permanent
- First published
- Aug 16, 2026, 12:15 PM UTC
- Payload SHA-256
- f46623f951d44ca0…
- Lifecycle
- superseded · 2 events
- 01publishedsection_refreshbfd0e915 →
- 02supersededsection_refresh5336a27f →
- Active Sections
- 2
- Verified signals
- 30
- Live changes
- 20
- Last material update
- 4 days ago
- Snapshot
- e579bd37
41%→30.5%· 24h
7d · 164 source observations · no interpolationObserved
YES moved down by 10.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
Source Polymarket GammaConfidence highEvidence 1Data as of 4 days agoTopicSignal record Secondary signals
3 Verified
Secondary signal · Expectations
39.5%→35.5%-4pp
ObservedYES moved down by 4.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Source Polymarket GammaConfidence highEvidence 1Data as of 4 days agoTopicSignal record Secondary signal · Expectations
47%→13.5%-33.5pp
ObservedYES moved down by 33.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
Source Polymarket GammaConfidence highEvidence 1Data as of 6 days agoAging · still validTopicSignal record Secondary signal · Rules
not published→final
ObservedAmendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
Source Transportation Department, Federal Aviation AdministrationConfidence highEvidence 1Data as of 13 days agoAging · still validSignal record Live signal feed
Most recent first
↑ up↑ up↓ down↓ down↓ down↓ down↓ down↓ down↑ up↑ up↓ down↑ up↑ up↑ up↓ down↓ down↓ down↓ down↓ down↑ up TypeChangeSourceConfidenceEvidenceVerified
46.5%→16%-30.5 percentage points
↘-30.5pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Source Polymarket GammaConfidence highEvidence 1Data as of 4 days agoTopicSignal record Chronological, immutable publication record.
ComposedSectionsClaimsTriggerStateSnapshot
2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublishedbc29a837 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublishede139de49 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublishedd71e2007 2Expectations · Rules30freshness reconcilepublished046ef0c2 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished91eb01f1 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublishedb7cf8d84 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublishedf3d2e13e 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished7913cd16 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublishedba502bf1 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublishedf533f814 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished1135db3c 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublishedd6cc6405