- Record class
- public permanent
- First published
- Aug 13, 2026, 02:16 AM UTC
- Payload SHA-256
- b3335e1e8fc35c1c…
- Lifecycle
- superseded · 2 events
- 01publishedsection_refreshe26a262b →
- 02supersededsection_refresh03d15c7e →
- Active Sections
- 2
- Verified signals
- 30
- Live changes
- 20
- Last material update
- 16 hours ago
- Snapshot
- ab169eeb
54.5%→87.5%· 24h
7d · 169 source observations · no interpolationObserved
YES moved up by 33.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Source Polymarket GammaConfidence highEvidence 1Data as of 16 hours agoTopicSignal record Secondary signals
3 Verified
Secondary signal · Expectations
41.5%→33.5%-8pp
ObservedYES moved down by 8.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Source Polymarket GammaConfidence highEvidence 1Data as of 16 hours agoTopicSignal record Secondary signal · Expectations
32.0%→17.5%-14.5pp
ObservedYES moved down by 14.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
Source Polymarket GammaConfidence highEvidence 1Data as of 21 hours agoTopicSignal record Secondary signal · Rules
not published→final
ObservedAmendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
Source Transportation Department, Federal Aviation AdministrationConfidence highEvidence 1Data as of 7 days agoAging · still validSignal record Live signal feed
Most recent first
↓ down↓ down↑ up↓ down↓ down↑ up↑ up↓ down↓ down↓ down↑ up↓ down↓ down↓ down↑ up↑ up↑ up↓ down↓ down↓ down TypeChangeSourceConfidenceEvidenceVerified
31.5%→24.5%-7 percentage points
↘-7pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Source Polymarket GammaConfidence highEvidence 1Data as of 16 hours agoTopicSignal record Chronological, immutable publication record.
ComposedSectionsClaimsTriggerStateSnapshot
2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished5200f402 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished69a4db32 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublishedea116840 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublishedf7a77ccf 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublishede03865e9 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished24be73a3 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished3f7d946b 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished691618ba 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished23416207 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished42cc990d 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished06ccb97f 2Expectations · Rules30section refreshpublished539d9935