Immutable archive edition
Edition · 2026-08-16
- Composed
- Aug 16, 2026, 01:15 AM UTC
- Last verified update
- 4 days ago
- Record class
- public permanent
- First published
- Aug 16, 2026, 01:15 AM UTC
- Payload SHA-256
- e7b0026d8c29e038…
- Lifecycle
- superseded · 2 events
- 01publishedsection_refresh029d108a →
- 02supersededfreshness_reconcile3bbb8d09 →
- Active Sections
- 2
- Verified signals
- 30
- Live changes
- 20
- Last material update
- 4 days ago
- Snapshot
- 2e84e494
Lead signal · Expectations
Track topic →Will Trump and Putin not meet?
-4.5pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Observed
YES moved down by 4.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signals
3 Verified
Secondary signal · Expectations
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
32.5%→39.5%+7pp
ObservedYES moved up by 7.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Expectations
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
49%→33.5%-15.5pp
ObservedYES moved down by 15.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Rules
Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL
not published→final
ObservedAmendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
Live signal feed
Most recent first
Significant changes
Verified changes impacting monitored signals
Probability move
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
YES moved up by 7.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
+7pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Archive snapshots
Archive
Chronological, immutable publication record.