不可變的典藏期次
期次 · 2026-08-16
- 編製時間
- 2026年8月16日 上午01:15 [UTC]
- 最近驗證更新
- 4 天前
- 紀錄類別
- 永久公開紀錄
- 首次發布
- 2026年8月16日 上午01:15 [UTC]
- Payload SHA-256
- e7b0026d8c29e038…
- 生命週期
- superseded · 2 個事件
- 01已發布section_refresh029d108a →
- 02supersededfreshness_reconcile3bbb8d09 →
- 有效區段
- 2
- 已驗證訊號
- 30
- 即時變化
- 20
- 最近實質更新
- 4 天前
- 快照
- 2e84e494
次要訊號
3 已驗證
次要訊號 · 預期變化
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
32.5%→39.5%+7pp
觀測YES moved up by 7.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
次要訊號 · 預期變化
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
49%→33.5%-15.5pp
觀測YES moved down by 15.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
次要訊號 · 規則變化
Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL
未發布→已定案
觀測Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
即時訊號
最新在前
重大變化
影響受監測訊號的已驗證變化
類型Change來源信心程度證據驗證時間
預期變化Will Trump and Putin not meet?YES moved down by 4.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gamma高4 天前
預期變化Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?YES moved up by 7.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gamma高4 天前
預期變化Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?YES moved up by 7.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gamma高4 天前
預期變化Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?YES moved up by 8.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gamma高4 天前
預期變化Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?YES moved up by 8.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gamma高4 天前
預期變化Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?YES moved up by 5.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gamma高4 天前
預期變化Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?YES moved up by 6.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gamma高4 天前
預期變化Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?YES moved up by 10.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gamma高4 天前
機率變動
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
YES moved up by 7.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
19.5%→26.5%+7 個百分點
+7pp · 24h僅顯示方向 · 缺少完整七天歷史
典藏快照
典藏
依時間排列、不可變的出版紀錄。
編製區段Claims觸發狀態快照