Immutable archive edition
Edition · 2026-08-10
- Composed
- Aug 10, 2026, 08:20 AM UTC
- Last verified update
- 32 hours ago
- Record class
- public permanent
- First published
- Aug 10, 2026, 08:20 AM UTC
- Payload SHA-256
- c856941fd61eda99…
- Lifecycle
- published · 1 events
- Active Sections
- 1
- Verified signals
- 30
- Live changes
- 20
- Last material update
- 32 hours ago
- Snapshot
- dc2b7736
Lead signal · Expectations
Track topic →Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 10?
+84.3pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Observed
YES moved up by 84.3 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signals
3 Verified
Secondary signal · Expectations
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?
17.0%→99.7%+82.7pp
ObservedYES moved up by 82.7 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Expectations
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
45.0%→14.5%-30.5pp
ObservedYES moved down by 30.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Expectations
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
37.0%→65.2%+28.2pp
ObservedYES moved up by 28.2 percentage points over 24 hours.
Live signal feed
Most recent first
Significant changes
Verified changes impacting monitored signals
Probability move
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10?
YES moved up by 80.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
+80.0pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Archive snapshots
Archive
Chronological, immutable publication record.