不可變的典藏期次
期次 · 2026-08-10
- 編製時間
- 2026年8月10日 上午08:20 [UTC]
- 最近驗證更新
- 33 小時前
- 紀錄類別
- public permanent
- 首次發布
- 2026年8月10日 上午08:20 [UTC]
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- 生命週期
- published · 1 個事件
- 有效區段
- 1
- 已驗證訊號
- 30
- 即時變化
- 20
- 最近實質更新
- 33 小時前
- 快照
- dc2b7736
主訊號 · 預期變化
追蹤主題 →Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 10?
15.5%→99.8%· 24h
+84.3pp · 24h僅顯示方向 · 缺少完整七天歷史
次要訊號
3 已驗證
次要訊號 · 預期變化
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?
17.0%→99.7%+82.7pp
觀測YES moved up by 82.7 percentage points over 24 hours.
次要訊號 · 預期變化
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
45.0%→14.5%-30.5pp
觀測YES moved down by 30.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
次要訊號 · 預期變化
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
37.0%→65.2%+28.2pp
觀測YES moved up by 28.2 percentage points over 24 hours.
即時訊號
最新在前
重大變化
影響受監測訊號的已驗證變化
類型Change來源信心程度證據驗證時間
預期變化Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 10?YES moved up by 84.3 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh33 小時前
預期變化Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?YES moved up by 82.7 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh33 小時前
預期變化Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10?YES moved up by 80.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh33 小時前
預期變化Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 10?YES moved up by 83.8 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh34 小時前
預期變化Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10?YES moved up by 83.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh34 小時前
預期變化Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 10?YES moved up by 82.6 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh34 小時前
預期變化Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 10?YES moved up by 53.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh35 小時前
預期變化Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?YES moved up by 37.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh35 小時前
機率變動
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10?
YES moved up by 80.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
19.5%→99.6%+80.0 個百分點
+80.0pp · 24h僅顯示方向 · 缺少完整七天歷史
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