Immutable archive edition
Edition · 2026-08-10
- Composed
- Aug 10, 2026, 04:19 PM UTC
- Last verified update
- 24 hours ago
- Record class
- public permanent
- First published
- Aug 10, 2026, 04:19 PM UTC
- Payload SHA-256
- 33e64081e03c5690…
- Lifecycle
- published · 1 events
- Active Sections
- 1
- Verified signals
- 30
- Live changes
- 20
- Last material update
- 24 hours ago
- Snapshot
- 1f914d2b
Lead signal · Expectations
Track topic →Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 10?
+54pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Observed
YES moved up by 54.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signals
3 Verified
Secondary signal · Expectations
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
57.5%→29.5%-28pp
ObservedYES moved down by 28.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Expectations
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?
71.0%→33.6%-37.5pp
ObservedYES moved down by 37.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Expectations
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
57.0%→27.5%-29.5pp
ObservedYES moved down by 29.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
Live signal feed
Most recent first
Significant changes
Verified changes impacting monitored signals
Probability move
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 11?
YES moved up by 27.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
+27pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Archive snapshots
Archive
Chronological, immutable publication record.