不可變的典藏期次
期次 · 2026-08-10
- 編製時間
- 2026年8月10日 下午04:19 [UTC]
- 最近驗證更新
- 25 小時前
- 紀錄類別
- public permanent
- 首次發布
- 2026年8月10日 下午04:19 [UTC]
- Payload SHA-256
- 33e64081e03c5690…
- 生命週期
- published · 1 個事件
- 有效區段
- 1
- 已驗證訊號
- 30
- 即時變化
- 20
- 最近實質更新
- 25 小時前
- 快照
- 1f914d2b
次要訊號
3 已驗證
次要訊號 · 預期變化
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
57.5%→29.5%-28pp
觀測YES moved down by 28.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
次要訊號 · 預期變化
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?
71.0%→33.6%-37.5pp
觀測YES moved down by 37.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
次要訊號 · 預期變化
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
57.0%→27.5%-29.5pp
觀測YES moved down by 29.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
即時訊號
最新在前
重大變化
影響受監測訊號的已驗證變化
類型Change來源信心程度證據驗證時間
預期變化Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 10?YES moved up by 54.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh25 小時前
預期變化US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?YES moved down by 28.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh25 小時前
預期變化Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 11?YES moved up by 27.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh25 小時前
預期變化Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 10?YES moved up by 68.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh26 小時前
預期變化Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 10?YES moved down by 49.8 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh26 小時前
預期變化Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?YES moved up by 37.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh26 小時前
預期變化Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 10?YES moved up by 48.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh27 小時前
預期變化Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 10?YES moved down by 36.6 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh27 小時前
機率變動
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 11?
YES moved up by 27.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
34.5%→61.5%+27 個百分點
+27pp · 24h僅顯示方向 · 缺少完整七天歷史
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