Immutable archive edition
Edition · 2026-08-10
- Composed
- Aug 10, 2026, 08:20 PM UTC
- Last verified update
- 20 hours ago
- Record class
- public permanent
- First published
- Aug 10, 2026, 08:20 PM UTC
- Payload SHA-256
- c4c1424d1d2a3c5c…
- Lifecycle
- published · 1 events
- Active Sections
- 1
- Verified signals
- 30
- Live changes
- 20
- Last material update
- 20 hours ago
- Snapshot
- 1d8f9482
Lead signal · Expectations
Track topic →Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?
-55pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Observed
YES moved down by 55.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signals
3 Verified
Secondary signal · Expectations
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?
50%→89%+39pp
ObservedYES moved up by 39.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Expectations
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?
71.0%→33.6%-37.5pp
ObservedYES moved down by 37.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Expectations
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 10?
10.3%→38.2%+27.9pp
ObservedYES moved up by 27.9 percentage points over 24 hours.
Live signal feed
Most recent first
Significant changes
Verified changes impacting monitored signals
Probability move
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?
YES moved up by 35.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
+35pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Archive snapshots
Archive
Chronological, immutable publication record.