不可變的典藏期次
期次 · 2026-08-10
- 編製時間
- 2026年8月10日 下午08:20 [UTC]
- 最近驗證更新
- 21 小時前
- 紀錄類別
- public permanent
- 首次發布
- 2026年8月10日 下午08:20 [UTC]
- Payload SHA-256
- c4c1424d1d2a3c5c…
- 生命週期
- published · 1 個事件
- 有效區段
- 1
- 已驗證訊號
- 30
- 即時變化
- 20
- 最近實質更新
- 21 小時前
- 快照
- 1d8f9482
次要訊號
3 已驗證
次要訊號 · 預期變化
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?
50%→89%+39pp
觀測YES moved up by 39.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
次要訊號 · 預期變化
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?
71.0%→33.6%-37.5pp
觀測YES moved down by 37.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
次要訊號 · 預期變化
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 10?
10.3%→38.2%+27.9pp
觀測YES moved up by 27.9 percentage points over 24 hours.
即時訊號
最新在前
重大變化
影響受監測訊號的已驗證變化
類型Change來源信心程度證據驗證時間
預期變化Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?YES moved down by 55.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh21 小時前
預期變化Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?YES moved up by 39.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh21 小時前
預期變化Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?YES moved up by 35.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh21 小時前
預期變化Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?YES moved down by 45.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh22 小時前
預期變化Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?YES moved up by 39.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh22 小時前
預期變化Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?YES moved up by 34.1 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh22 小時前
預期變化Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 10?YES moved down by 51.6 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh23 小時前
預期變化Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?YES moved down by 45.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh23 小時前
機率變動
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?
YES moved up by 35.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
62.5%→97.5%+35 個百分點
+35pp · 24h僅顯示方向 · 缺少完整七天歷史
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