Immutable archive edition
Edition · 2026-08-10
- Composed
- Aug 10, 2026, 11:15 PM UTC
- Last verified update
- 16 hours ago
- Record class
- public permanent
- First published
- Aug 10, 2026, 11:15 PM UTC
- Payload SHA-256
- 821a73d871c03d51…
- Lifecycle
- published · 1 events
- Active Sections
- 2
- Verified signals
- 30
- Live changes
- 20
- Last material update
- 16 hours ago
- Snapshot
- f161416c
Lead signal · Expectations
Track topic →Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?
-53pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Observed
YES moved down by 53.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signals
3 Verified
Secondary signal · Expectations
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 11?
54.0%→94%+40pp
ObservedYES moved up by 40.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Rules
2-Propenoic Acid, 2-Methyl-, Telomer With 1-Dodecanethiol, and 2-Methyloxirane Polymer With Oxirane Monoether With 1,2-Propanediol Mono(2-Methyl-2-Propenoate) in Pesticide Formulations; Exemption From the Requirement for a Tolerance
not published→final
Observed2-Propenoic Acid, 2-Methyl-, Telomer With 1-Dodecanethiol, and 2-Methyloxirane Polymer With Oxirane Monoether With 1,2-Propanediol Mono(2-Methyl-2-Propenoate) in Pesticide Formulations; Exemption From the Requirement for a Tolerance is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
Secondary signal · Rules
Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL
not published→final
ObservedAmendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
Live signal feed
Most recent first
Significant changes
Verified changes impacting monitored signals
Probability move
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?
YES moved up by 38.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
+38.5pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Archive snapshots
Archive
Chronological, immutable publication record.