Immutable archive edition
Edition · 2026-08-20
- Composed
- Aug 20, 2026, 09:41 AM UTC
- Last verified update
- 3 hours ago
- Record class
- public permanent
- First published
- Aug 20, 2026, 09:41 AM UTC
- Payload SHA-256
- 366c534de7c64abc…
- Lifecycle
- superseded · 2 events
- 01publishedsection_refresh2bba3a96 →
- 02supersededsection_refreshef5b6624 →
- Active Sections
- 2
- Verified signals
- 30
- Live changes
- 20
- Last material update
- 3 hours ago
- Snapshot
- a4b2d13c
Lead signal · Expectations
Track topic →Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?
-32.5pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Observed
YES moved down by 32.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signals
3 Verified
Secondary signal · Expectations
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
49.5%→39%-10.5pp
ObservedYES moved down by 10.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Expectations
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
40.0%→99.6%+59.5pp
ObservedYES moved up by 59.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Rules
Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL
not published→final
ObservedAmendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
Live signal feed
Most recent first
Significant changes
Verified changes impacting monitored signals
Probability move
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
YES moved up by 9.7 percentage points over 24 hours.
+9.7pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Archive snapshots
Archive
Chronological, immutable publication record.