Immutable archive edition
Edition · 2026-08-10
- Composed
- Aug 10, 2026, 06:15 PM UTC
- Last verified update
- 21 hours ago
- Record class
- public permanent
- First published
- Aug 10, 2026, 06:15 PM UTC
- Payload SHA-256
- ee0f6014a29b15e3…
- Lifecycle
- published · 1 events
- Active Sections
- 2
- Verified signals
- 30
- Live changes
- 20
- Last material update
- 21 hours ago
- Snapshot
- 55134ec4
Lead signal · Expectations
Track topic →Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 10?
-51.6pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Observed
YES moved down by 51.6 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signals
3 Verified
Secondary signal · Expectations
Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?
64%→19%-45pp
ObservedYES moved down by 45.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
Secondary signal · Rules
2-Propenoic Acid, 2-Methyl-, Telomer With 1-Dodecanethiol, and 2-Methyloxirane Polymer With Oxirane Monoether With 1,2-Propanediol Mono(2-Methyl-2-Propenoate) in Pesticide Formulations; Exemption From the Requirement for a Tolerance
not published→final
Observed2-Propenoic Acid, 2-Methyl-, Telomer With 1-Dodecanethiol, and 2-Methyloxirane Polymer With Oxirane Monoether With 1,2-Propanediol Mono(2-Methyl-2-Propenoate) in Pesticide Formulations; Exemption From the Requirement for a Tolerance is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
Secondary signal · Rules
Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL
not published→final
ObservedAmendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
Live signal feed
Most recent first
Significant changes
Verified changes impacting monitored signals
Probability move
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?
YES moved up by 38.4 percentage points over 24 hours.
+38.4pp · 24hDirection only · complete 7d history unavailable
Archive snapshots
Archive
Chronological, immutable publication record.