不可變的典藏期次
期次 · 2026-08-10
- 編製時間
- 2026年8月10日 上午07:15 [UTC]
- 最近驗證更新
- 34 小時前
- 紀錄類別
- public permanent
- 首次發布
- 2026年8月10日 上午07:15 [UTC]
- Payload SHA-256
- 9d1fb026be9de501…
- 生命週期
- published · 1 個事件
- 有效區段
- 1
- 已驗證訊號
- 28
- 即時變化
- 20
- 最近實質更新
- 34 小時前
- 快照
- 1dcb6876
主訊號 · 預期變化
追蹤主題 →Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 10?
15.5%→99.3%· 24h
+83.8pp · 24h僅顯示方向 · 缺少完整七天歷史
次要訊號
1 已驗證
次要訊號 · 預期變化
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10?
16.5%→100.0%+83.5pp
觀測YES moved up by 83.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
即時訊號
最新在前
重大變化
影響受監測訊號的已驗證變化
類型Change來源信心程度證據驗證時間
預期變化Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 10?YES moved up by 83.8 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh34 小時前
預期變化Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10?YES moved up by 83.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh34 小時前
預期變化Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 10?YES moved up by 82.6 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh34 小時前
預期變化Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 10?YES moved up by 53.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh35 小時前
預期變化Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?YES moved up by 37.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh35 小時前
預期變化US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?YES moved down by 25.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh35 小時前
預期變化Exact Score: CF América 3 - 1 Portland Timbers?YES moved up by 92.8 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh36 小時前
預期變化Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-09?YES moved up by 74.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh36 小時前
機率變動
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 10?
YES moved up by 82.6 percentage points over 24 hours.
13.6%→96.2%+82.6 個百分點
+82.6pp · 24h僅顯示方向 · 缺少完整七天歷史
典藏快照
典藏
依時間排列、不可變的出版紀錄。
編製區段Claims觸發狀態快照