標準預期 · politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- 狀態
- active
- 結算
- 2026年12月31日 上午12:00 [UTC]
- 市場
- 1
- 已驗證訊號
- 0
命題、來源規則與市場說明目前保留英文原文，以避免未經驗證的翻譯改變結算含義。
目前市場狀態
來源機率，不是 Open Signal 預測
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
來源 ↗This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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結算契約
此命題如何結算
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- 權威來源
- 由來源市場規則定義
- 截止時間
- 2026年12月31日 上午12:00 [UTC]
- 標準化器
- production-1.0.0
已驗證訊號歷史
最新在前
此主題尚未發布經驗證的變化主張。