不可變的典藏期次
期次 · 2026-08-10
- 編製時間
- 2026年8月10日 下午12:14 [UTC]
- 最近驗證更新
- 29 小時前
- 紀錄類別
- public permanent
- 首次發布
- 2026年8月10日 下午12:14 [UTC]
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- 生命週期
- published · 1 個事件
- 有效區段
- 2
- 已驗證訊號
- 30
- 即時變化
- 20
- 最近實質更新
- 29 小時前
- 快照
- 8592b568
次要訊號
3 已驗證
次要訊號 · 預期變化
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
61.5%→31.5%-30pp
觀測YES moved down by 30.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
次要訊號 · 規則變化
2-Propenoic Acid, 2-Methyl-, Telomer With 1-Dodecanethiol, and 2-Methyloxirane Polymer With Oxirane Monoether With 1,2-Propanediol Mono(2-Methyl-2-Propenoate) in Pesticide Formulations; Exemption From the Requirement for a Tolerance
not published→final
觀測2-Propenoic Acid, 2-Methyl-, Telomer With 1-Dodecanethiol, and 2-Methyloxirane Polymer With Oxirane Monoether With 1,2-Propanediol Mono(2-Methyl-2-Propenoate) in Pesticide Formulations; Exemption From the Requirement for a Tolerance is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
次要訊號 · 規則變化
Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL
not published→final
觀測Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
即時訊號
最新在前
重大變化
影響受監測訊號的已驗證變化
類型Change來源信心程度證據驗證時間
預期變化Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?YES moved down by 52.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh29 小時前
預期變化Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?YES moved down by 30.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh29 小時前
預期變化US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?YES moved down by 25.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh29 小時前
預期變化Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?YES moved up by 80.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh30 小時前
預期變化Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 10?YES moved up by 79.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh30 小時前
預期變化Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10?YES moved up by 76.3 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh30 小時前
預期變化Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 10?YES moved up by 89.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh31 小時前
預期變化Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 10?YES moved up by 84.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh31 小時前
機率變動
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
YES moved down by 25.0 percentage points over 24 hours.
54.5%→29.5%-25 個百分點
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