不可變的典藏期次
期次 · 2026-08-11
- 編製時間
- 2026年8月11日 上午12:15 [UTC]
- 最近驗證更新
- 17 小時前
- 紀錄類別
- public permanent
- 首次發布
- 2026年8月11日 上午12:15 [UTC]
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- 生命週期
- published · 1 個事件
- 有效區段
- 2
- 已驗證訊號
- 30
- 即時變化
- 20
- 最近實質更新
- 17 小時前
- 快照
- 5c0c8d3c
主訊號 · 預期變化
追蹤主題 →Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 11?
54.0%→94%· 24h
+40pp · 24h僅顯示方向 · 缺少完整七天歷史
次要訊號
3 已驗證
次要訊號 · 預期變化
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?
57.5%→97.0%+39.5pp
觀測YES moved up by 39.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
次要訊號 · 規則變化
2-Propenoic Acid, 2-Methyl-, Telomer With 1-Dodecanethiol, and 2-Methyloxirane Polymer With Oxirane Monoether With 1,2-Propanediol Mono(2-Methyl-2-Propenoate) in Pesticide Formulations; Exemption From the Requirement for a Tolerance
not published→final
觀測2-Propenoic Acid, 2-Methyl-, Telomer With 1-Dodecanethiol, and 2-Methyloxirane Polymer With Oxirane Monoether With 1,2-Propanediol Mono(2-Methyl-2-Propenoate) in Pesticide Formulations; Exemption From the Requirement for a Tolerance is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
次要訊號 · 規則變化
Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL
not published→final
觀測Amendment of Class D and Class E Airspace; Chicago/Rockford, IL is recorded by the Federal Register as final.
即時訊號
最新在前
重大變化
影響受監測訊號的已驗證變化
類型Change來源信心程度證據驗證時間
預期變化Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 11?YES moved up by 40.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh17 小時前
預期變化Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?YES moved up by 39.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh17 小時前
預期變化Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?YES moved up by 38.9 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh17 小時前
預期變化Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?YES moved down by 53.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh18 小時前
預期變化Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 11?YES moved up by 40.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh18 小時前
預期變化Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?YES moved up by 38.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh18 小時前
預期變化Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?YES moved down by 54.0 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh19 小時前
預期變化Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?YES moved up by 38.5 percentage points over 24 hours.Polymarket Gammahigh19 小時前
機率變動
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
YES moved up by 38.9 percentage points over 24 hours.
39.8%→78.6%+38.9 個百分點
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