Canonical expectation · trump
Will Trump say "Biden" during remarks in New York?
What will Trump say during remarks in New York?
- Status
- active
- Resolves
- Aug 14, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
- Markets
- 1
- Verified signals
- 2
Current market state
Source probability, not an Open Signal forecast
Will Trump say "Biden" during remarks in New York?
Source ↗Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in New York on August 14, 2026. (https://x.com/bern_hogan/status/2086883175402184730). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in New York on August 14, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
- Volume
- 8.1K
- Liquidity
- 1.7K
- Observed
- 1 hour ago
Resolution contract
What settles this proposition
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in New York on August 14, 2026. (https://x.com/bern_hogan/status/2086883175402184730). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in New York on August 14, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
- Authority
- Defined by the source market rules
- Deadline
- Aug 14, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
- Canonicalizer
- production-1.0.0
Verified signal history
Newest first