Canonical expectation · politics
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
- Status
- active
- Resolves
- Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
- Markets
- 1
- Verified signals
- 4
Current market state
Source probability, not an Open Signal forecast
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Source ↗This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff. If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election. If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
- Volume
- 143.9K
- Liquidity
- 77.2K
- Observed
- 17 hours ago
Resolution contract
What settles this proposition
This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff. If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election. If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
- Authority
- Defined by the source market rules
- Deadline
- Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
- Canonicalizer
- production-1.0.0
Verified signal history
Newest first