Canonical expectation · la
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
- Status
- active
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
- Markets
- 1
- Verified signals
- 2
Current market state
Source probability, not an Open Signal forecast
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Source ↗The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
- Volume
- 780.4K
- Liquidity
- 71.7K
- Observed
- 1 hour ago
Resolution contract
What settles this proposition
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
- Authority
- Defined by the source market rules
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
- Canonicalizer
- production-1.0.0
Verified signal history
Newest first