Canonical expectation · politics
Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee?
MN-05 Republican Primary Winner
- Status
- active
- Resolves
- Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
- Markets
- 1
- Verified signals
- 1
Current market state
Source probability, not an Open Signal forecast
Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee?
Source ↗This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
- Volume
- 34.3K
- Liquidity
- 27.2K
- Observed
- 5 hours ago
Resolution contract
What settles this proposition
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
- Authority
- Defined by the source market rules
- Deadline
- Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
- Canonicalizer
- production-1.0.0
Verified signal history
Newest first