Canonical expectation · politics
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Argentina Presidential Election Winner
- Status
- active
- Resolves
- Oct 24, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC
- Markets
- 1
- Verified signals
- 0
Current market state
Source probability, not an Open Signal forecast
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Source ↗A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
- Volume
- 132.7K
- Liquidity
- 28.8K
- Observed
- 6 minutes ago
Resolution contract
What settles this proposition
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
- Authority
- Defined by the source market rules
- Deadline
- Oct 24, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC
- Canonicalizer
- production-1.0.0
Verified signal history
Newest first
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