Canonical expectation · hawaii
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?
HI-01 Democratic Primary Winner
- Status
- active
- Resolves
- Aug 8, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
- Markets
- 1
- Verified signals
- 3
Current market state
Source probability, not an Open Signal forecast
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?
Source ↗This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
- Volume
- 59.5K
- Liquidity
- 41.8K
- Observed
- 2 days ago
Resolution contract
What settles this proposition
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
- Authority
- Defined by the source market rules
- Deadline
- Aug 8, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
- Canonicalizer
- production-1.0.0
Verified signal history
Newest first