Canonical expectation · iran
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
- Status
- active
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
- Markets
- 1
- Verified signals
- 13
Current market state
Source probability, not an Open Signal forecast
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
Source ↗This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration publicly announces that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Volume
- 19.1K
- Liquidity
- 41.4K
- Observed
- 4 hours ago
Resolution contract
What settles this proposition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration publicly announces that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Authority
- Defined by the source market rules
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
- Canonicalizer
- production-1.0.0
Verified signal history
Newest first