Discovery, ranked by signal

Explore Signals and Topics

Markets remain proposition-level public records. Explore groups them into source events and surfaces only the leader, material mover, or credible challenger that explains why the event matters now.

Eligible propositions: 244
Selected events: 146
Recent Signal subjects: 287
Ranked as of: Aug 11, 2026, 03:18 PM UTC

Event-aware expectations

Selected Event Signals

12 shown · 14 lower-value propositions folded away

sportsobserved move

F1 Drivers' Champion

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $12.1K traded in 24h

leaderKimi Antonelli
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
74.3%↗ +0.1pp
largest material moveLewis Hamilton
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
10.6%↗ +0.5pp

sportsnear resolution

Valencia CF vs. CD Teruel

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $16.5K traded in 24h

leaderValencia CF
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-12?

63%

—

weathermaterial repricing

Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $42.7K traded in 24h

leader28°C
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 12?
19%↘ -4pp
qualified tail anomaly27°C
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?
0.7%↘ -2.8pp

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 12?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $17.0K traded in 24h

leader34°C
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 12?
53%—
highest 24h activity35°C
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 12?
2.8%↗ +0.2pp

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in Madrid on August 12?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $17.9K traded in 24h

leader39°C
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 12?
51.5%—
credible challenger38°C
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 12?
36.5%—

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 12?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $14.3K traded in 24h

leader36°C
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?
45%—
credible challenger35°C
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 12?
29.5%—

weathernear resolution

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $10.2K traded in 24h

leader29°C
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?
69.5%—

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in Busan on August 12?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $9.3K traded in 24h

leader31°C
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 12?
37.5%—

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in London on August 12?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $9.0K traded in 24h

leader31°C
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 12?
39.5%—

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 12?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $8.7K traded in 24h

leader37°C
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 12?
38.5%—
credible challenger36°C
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 12?
35%—

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in Singapore on August 12?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $7.9K traded in 24h

leader32°C
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 12?
60.5%—

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in Paris on August 12?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $6.4K traded in 24h

leader35°C
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 12?
54.5%—

Current record per subject

Recent Signals

2 shown · older snapshots remain in the public ledger

DeskSignalEvent / subjectValid untilUpdated

ExpectationsProbability of Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin shifted.derived observation · verifiedexpectations movedOpen4 days ago

ExpectationsProbability of Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominati shifted.derived observation · verifiedexpectations movedOpen4 days ago