Discovery, ranked by signal

Explore Signals and Topics

Markets remain proposition-level public records. Explore groups them into source events and surfaces only the leader, material mover, or credible challenger that explains why the event matters now.

Eligible propositions: 251
Selected events: 150
Recent Signal subjects: 287
Ranked as of: Aug 11, 2026, 03:18 PM UTC

Event-aware expectations

Selected Event Signals

12 shown · 12 lower-value propositions folded away

soccerverified signal

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $52.5K traded in 24h

leaderHarry Kane
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
58.3%↗ +0.7pp
latest verified signalLamine Yamal
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
17.4%↘ 0pp

sportsverified signal

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $8.3K traded in 24h

leaderJannik Sinner
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?

52.5%

→ 0pp

latest verified signalAlexander Zverev

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?

14.2%↗ +0.3pp

esportsmaterial repricing

LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Related source markets · $3.8 traded in 24h

largest material moveBoth Teams Slay a Dragon
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
55.5%↘ -3.5pp
highest 24h activityBoth Teams Slay a Dragon
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
56%↘ -3.5pp

nba finalsactive event

NBA: 2027 Champion

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $21.0K traded in 24h

leaderOklahoma City Thunder
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
21.5%→ 0pp
credible challengerSan Antonio Spurs
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
20.5%→ 0pp

EPLactive event

EPL: 2027 Champion

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $15.1K traded in 24h

leaderArsenal
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
39.5%→ 0pp
credible challengerManchester City
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
26.5%→ 0pp

sportsmaterial repricing

CF Monterrey vs. Nashville SC

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $28.9K traded in 24h

leaderNashville SC
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-12?
43.5%↘ -1pp
largest material moveCF Monterrey
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-12?
30.5%↘ -32pp

esportsmaterial repricing

LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Related source markets · $0.0 traded in 24h

largest material moveBoth Teams Slay a Dragon
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
55.5%↘ -3.5pp
highest source probabilityBoth Teams Slay a Dragon
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
56%↘ -3.5pp

sportsmaterial repricing

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $80.9K traded in 24h

leaderDeportivo Toluca FC
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-12?
70.5%↘ -13.5pp
credible challengerDraw (Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas)
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?
18.5%—

esportsnear resolution

LoL: Team Solid vs 7REX (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In

Related source markets · $0.0 traded in 24h

highest 24h activityBoth Teams Slay a Dragon
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
52%—

sportsmaterial repricing

CDPJuniorFC vs. Deportivo Pereira

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $7.6K traded in 24h

leaderCDPJuniorFC
Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-08-10?
61.5%↘ -12pp
credible challengerDraw (CDPJuniorFC vs. Deportivo Pereira)
Will CDPJuniorFC vs. Deportivo Pereira end in a draw?
22.5%—

esportsnear resolution

LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins

Related source markets · $0.0 traded in 24h

highest 24h activityBoth Teams Slay Baron Nashor
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
51%—

moviesverified signal

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $44.1K traded in 24h

leader900m+
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
54%↘ -3.4pp
largest material move800 - 900m
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
46%↗ +6.5pp

Current record per subject

Recent Signals

4 shown · older snapshots remain in the public ledger

DeskSignalEvent / subjectValid untilUpdated

RulesHazardous Materials: Allowing Fireworks Certification Agencies (FCAs) To Approve Professional Fireworks is recorded by the Federal Register as final.source fact · verifiedrules movedOpen3 days ago

RulesBacillus thuringiensis eCry1Gb.1Ig Protein; Exemption From the Requirement of a Pesticide Tolerance is recorded by the Federal Register as final.source fact · verifiedrules movedOpen3 days ago

ExpectationsProbability of Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin shifted.derived observation · verifiedexpectations movedOpen4 days ago

ExpectationsProbability of Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominati shifted.derived observation · verifiedexpectations movedOpen4 days ago