Discovery, ranked by signal

Explore Signals and Topics

Markets remain proposition-level public records. Explore groups them into source events and surfaces only the leader, material mover, or credible challenger that explains why the event matters now.

Eligible propositions: 233
Selected events: 142
Recent Signal subjects: 287
Ranked as of: Aug 11, 2026, 03:18 PM UTC

Event-aware expectations

Selected Event Signals

12 shown · 5 lower-value propositions folded away

aiobserved move

Which company has best AI model end of August?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $6.5K traded in 24h

leaderAnthropic
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
93.5%→ 0pp
largest material moveOpenAI
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
4.2%↘ -0.5pp

pop cultureverified signal

# of views of MrBeast video week 1?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $39.0K traded in 24h

leader70-80M

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

83.7%

↗ +46.1pp

credible challenger80-90M

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

13.1%↗ +10.5pp

financeverified signal

Anthropic IPO by __?

Related source markets · $69.2K traded in 24h

latest verified signalDecember 31, 2026
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
84.5%↗ +12pp
largest material moveOctober 31, 2026
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
73%↗ +35.5pp

bitcoinverified signal

What price will Bitcoin hit in August?

Related source markets · $37.6K traded in 24h

latest verified signal↑ 65,000
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?
78.5%—
largest material move↓ 62,500
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
78%↗ +13.5pp

gamingverified signal

Kai and Speed beat Minecraft challenge by...?

Related source markets · $707.1K traded in 24h

latest verified signalAugust 16
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?
13%↗ +4.5pp
largest material moveAugust 17
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
18.5%↗ +5pp

ethereumverified signal

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Related source markets · $86.5 traded in 24h

latest verified signal↓ 1,750
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?
81%↗ +4.5pp
highest 24h activity↑ 2,000
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
85%↘ -1.5pp

solanaverified signal

What price will Solana hit in August?

Related source markets · $298.6 traded in 24h

latest verified signal↑ 80
Will Solana reach $80 in August?
58.5%↘ -3pp

fdvverified signal

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Related source markets · $19.5K traded in 24h

latest verified signal$150M
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
73.5%↘ -0.5pp
largest material move$300M
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
37%↘ -2.5pp

businessmaterial repricing

IPOs before 2027?

Related source markets · $21.6K traded in 24h

largest material moveAnthropic
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
82.5%↗ +9pp
highest source probabilitySHEIN
SHEIN IPO before 2027?
94.5%—

xrpmaterial repricing

What price will XRP hit in August?

Related source markets · $4.1K traded in 24h

largest material move↑ 1.20
Will XRP reach $1.20 in August?
6.5%↘ -4pp

iranobserved move

Iran full airspace closure by...?

Related source markets · $4.6K traded in 24h

largest material moveDecember 31
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
28.5%↘ -2.5pp
ranked representativeSeptember 30
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
17.5%↗ +1pp

fifaobserved move

Who will attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

Related source markets · $21.4K traded in 24h

largest material moveEdu Aguirre
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
27.5%↘ -2pp
ranked representativeMarcelo
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
26%—