Discovery, ranked by signal

Explore Signals and Topics

Markets remain proposition-level public records. Explore groups them into source events and surfaces only the leader, material mover, or credible challenger that explains why the event matters now.

Eligible propositions: 267
Selected events: 156
Recent Signal subjects: 287
Ranked as of: Aug 11, 2026, 02:14 PM UTC

Event-aware expectations

Selected Event Signals

12 shown · 10 lower-value propositions folded away

aiverified signal

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Related source markets · $11.4K traded in 24h

latest verified signalAugust 31
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
37.7%↘ -16pp
ranked representativeAugust 21
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
20.5%→ 0pp

openaiobserved move

GPT-6 released by…?

Related source markets · $242.1 traded in 24h

largest material moveDecember 31, 2026

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

87%

↘ -1pp

financeactive event

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $9.3K traded in 24h

leader$1.25–$1.5T
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
19.5%—

aiverified signal

Grok 4.6 released by...?

Related source markets · $17.3K traded in 24h

latest verified signalAugust 14
Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?
86.5%—
highest source probabilityAugust 21
Grok 4.6 released by August 21, 2026?
93.5%—

aiactive event

Which company has best AI model end of August?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $8.9K traded in 24h

leaderAnthropic
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
93.5%→ 0pp
ranked representativeOpenAI
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
4.2%↘ -0.1pp

pop cultureverified signal

# of views of MrBeast video week 1?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $33.0K traded in 24h

leader70-80M
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
80.6%↗ +43.2pp
credible challenger80-90M
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
15.6%↗ +13pp

gamingverified signal

# of in-game deaths during Kai and Speed Minecraft marathon?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $20.0K traded in 24h

leader90+
Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
38.5%↘ -26pp
latest verified signal50-69
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
29.1%—

xrpverified signal

What price will XRP hit in August?

Related source markets · $42.7K traded in 24h

latest verified signal↓ 1.00
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in August?
93%↗ +13pp
ranked representative↑ 1.20
Will XRP reach $1.20 in August?
8.5%↘ -3pp

bitcoinverified signal

What price will Bitcoin hit in August?

Related source markets · $41.7K traded in 24h

latest verified signal↑ 65,000
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?
84.5%—
largest material move↓ 62,500
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
70.5%↗ +4.5pp

ethereumverified signal

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Related source markets · $887.3 traded in 24h

latest verified signal↓ 1,750
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?
80%↗ +3.5pp
highest 24h activity↑ 2,000
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
85%↘ -1.5pp