標準預期 · awards
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- 狀態
- active
- 結算
- 2026年10月10日 上午12:00 [UTC]
- 市場
- 1
- 已驗證訊號
- 0
命題、來源規則與市場說明目前保留英文原文，以避免未經驗證的翻譯改變結算含義。
目前市場狀態
來源機率，不是 Open Signal 預測
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
來源 ↗This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
- 交易量
- 28.8萬
- 流動性
- 9.9萬
- 觀測
- 10 小時前
結算契約
此命題如何結算
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
- 權威來源
- 由來源市場規則定義
- 截止時間
- 2026年10月10日 上午12:00 [UTC]
- 標準化器
- production-1.0.0
已驗證訊號歷史
最新在前
此主題尚未發布經驗證的變化主張。