標準預期 · putin
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
- 狀態
- 有效
- 結算
- 2026年8月31日 下午11:59 [UTC]
- 市場
- 1
- 已驗證訊號
- 4
命題、來源規則與市場說明目前保留英文原文,以避免未經驗證的翻譯改變結算含義。
目前市場狀態
來源機率,不是 Open Signal 預測
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
來源 ↗This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
- 交易量
- 16萬
- 流動性
- 6014.3
- 觀測
- 2 小時前
結算契約
此命題如何結算
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
- 權威來源
- 由來源市場規則定義
- 截止時間
- 2026年8月31日 下午11:59 [UTC]
- 標準化器
- production-1.0.0
已驗證訊號歷史
最新在前