標準預期 · israel
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
- 狀態
- active
- 結算
- 2026年12月31日 上午03:59 [UTC]
- 市場
- 1
- 已驗證訊號
- 1
命題、來源規則與市場說明目前保留英文原文，以避免未經驗證的翻譯改變結算含義。
目前市場狀態
來源機率，不是 Open Signal 預測
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
來源 ↗This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
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- 3.9萬
- 觀測
- 3 小時前
結算契約
此命題如何結算
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
- 權威來源
- 由來源市場規則定義
- 截止時間
- 2026年12月31日 上午03:59 [UTC]
- 標準化器
- production-1.0.0
已驗證訊號歷史
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