標準預期 · politics
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
- 狀態
- active
- 結算
- 2026年8月31日 上午12:00 [UTC]
- 市場
- 1
- 已驗證訊號
- 2
命題、來源規則與市場說明目前保留英文原文,以避免未經驗證的翻譯改變結算含義。
目前市場狀態
來源機率,不是 Open Signal 預測
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
來源 ↗This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
- 交易量
- 156.8萬
- 流動性
- 19.5萬
- 觀測
- 37 小時前
結算契約
此命題如何結算
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
- 權威來源
- 由來源市場規則定義
- 截止時間
- 2026年8月31日 上午12:00 [UTC]
- 標準化器
- production-1.0.0
已驗證訊號歷史
最新在前