此筆 Claim 尚未有通過驗證的繁體中文呈現；以下保留不可變的英文原文，數字、日期與狀態均未改寫。
公開 Claim · 衍生觀測
The YES probability for Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks in New York? decreased by 1.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.
The YES probability for Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks in New York? decreased by 1.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.
- Claim ID
- 390c7a49-52c1-447a-8e4b-197c1b000dc6
- 狀態
- 已驗證
- 發布
- 2026年8月13日 上午07:15 [UTC]
- 有效至
- 2026年8月16日 上午07:15 [UTC]
觀測
觀測到什麼
The YES probability for Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks in New York? decreased by 1.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.
分析
此模式支持什麼
probability
判斷
Open Signal 的判斷
衍生
90% Claim 信心程度
與已發布 Claim 版本一同凍結
沒有記錄未解問題
此證據包沒有記錄
證據
已發布證據包
此內容定址證據包在 Claim 可發布前已完成儲存與回讀驗證。
開啟封存證據主要與支持證據
captured at: 2026-08-13T07:15:58.454549+00:00 · source market id: f3e33992-4c32-4984-ab63-38adf4afb6dd · external market id: 3527751 · resolution deadline at: 2026-08-14T23:59:00+00:00
反證
此證據角色沒有記錄。
方法
計算與涵蓋
此 Claim 由1 個來源組成。頁面只呈現已儲存結果，不會重新計算或暗中更新已發布判斷。
b1b3d74a-6bc1-477d-a68f-07931e506ebb譜系
Deterministic Observation
- 譜系 ID
- deterministic-obs-v1
- 基礎模型
- n/a
- 模型版本
- deterministic
- Charter
- os-011
歷史
不可變的公開版本
The YES probability for Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks in New York? decreased by 1.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.
deterministic observation結算契約
不適用
此觀測沒有提出需要結算的預測。