此筆 Claim 尚未有通過驗證的繁體中文呈現；以下保留不可變的英文原文，數字、日期與狀態均未改寫。
公開 Claim · derived observation
The YES probability for Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? decreased by 9.6 percentage points over the past 24 hours.
The YES probability for Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? decreased by 9.6 percentage points over the past 24 hours.
- Claim ID
- 22eb6f22-a320-4eb4-94e1-32137c063baa
- 狀態
- verified
- 發布
- 2026年8月10日 下午09:16 [UTC]
- 有效至
- 2026年8月13日 下午09:16 [UTC]
觀測
觀測到什麼
The YES probability for Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? decreased by 9.6 percentage points over the past 24 hours.
分析
此模式支持什麼
probability
判斷
Open Signal 的判斷
derived
90% Claim 信心程度
與已發布 Claim 版本一同凍結
沒有記錄未解問題
此證據包沒有記錄
證據
已發布證據包
此舊 Claim 早於封存證據切換；其證據仍保留在已發布的 Claim 紀錄內。
主要與支持證據
source market id: cdb7e697-41b3-4f55-b6a0-0dd7e9f746c6 · observation series size: 3
反證
此證據角色沒有記錄。
方法
計算與涵蓋
此 Claim 由已凍結的證據包組成。頁面只呈現已儲存結果，不會重新計算或暗中更新已發布判斷。
423677d7-2447-460b-9fe1-49549189f6d5譜系
Deterministic Observation
- 譜系 ID
- deterministic-obs-v1
- 基礎模型
- n/a
- 模型版本
- deterministic
- Charter
- os-011
歷史
不可變的公開版本
The YES probability for Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? decreased by 9.6 percentage points over the past 24 hours.
deterministic observation結算契約
不適用
此觀測沒有提出需要結算的預測。