Canonical expectation · politics
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?
FL-22 Republican Primary Winner
- Status
- active
- Resolves
- Aug 18, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
- Markets
- 1
- Verified signals
- 1
Current market state
Source probability, not an Open Signal forecast
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?
Source ↗This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
- Volume
- 47.1K
- Liquidity
- 46.9K
- Observed
- 2 days ago
Resolution contract
What settles this proposition
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
- Authority
- Defined by the source market rules
- Deadline
- Aug 18, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
- Canonicalizer
- production-1.0.0
Verified signal history
Newest first