Canonical expectation · florida
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?
- Status
- active
- Resolves
- Aug 18, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
- Markets
- 1
- Verified signals
- 0
Current market state
Source probability, not an Open Signal forecast
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Source ↗Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
- Volume
- 244.3K
- Liquidity
- 16.1K
- Observed
- 16 hours ago
Resolution contract
What settles this proposition
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
- Authority
- Defined by the source market rules
- Deadline
- Aug 18, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
- Canonicalizer
- production-1.0.0
Verified signal history
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