Canonical expectation · politics
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place
- Status
- active
- Resolves
- Aug 18, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
- Markets
- 1
- Verified signals
- 2
Current market state
Source probability, not an Open Signal forecast
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Source ↗This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
- Volume
- 30.2K
- Liquidity
- 90K
- Observed
- 3 days ago
Resolution contract
What settles this proposition
This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
- Authority
- Defined by the source market rules
- Deadline
- Aug 18, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
- Canonicalizer
- production-1.0.0
Verified signal history
Newest first