Canonical expectation · brazil
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
- Status
- active
- Resolves
- Oct 4, 2026, 06:00 AM UTC
- Markets
- 1
- Verified signals
- 1
Current market state
Source probability, not an Open Signal forecast
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Source ↗The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
- Volume
- 148.6K
- Liquidity
- 62.8K
- Observed
- 6 days ago
Resolution contract
What settles this proposition
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
- Authority
- Defined by the source market rules
- Deadline
- Oct 4, 2026, 06:00 AM UTC
- Canonicalizer
- production-1.0.0
Verified signal history
Newest first