Canonical expectation · politics
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
- Status
- active
- Resolves
- Jan 3, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC
- Markets
- 1
- Verified signals
- 3
Current market state
Source probability, not an Open Signal forecast
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Source ↗This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
- Volume
- 1.2M
- Liquidity
- 54.8K
- Observed
- 3 days ago
Resolution contract
What settles this proposition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
- Authority
- Defined by the source market rules
- Deadline
- Jan 3, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC
- Canonicalizer
- production-1.0.0
Verified signal history
Newest first