Public Claim · derived observation
The YES probability for Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on August 20? decreased by 8.6 percentage points over the past 24 hours.
The YES probability for Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on August 20? decreased by 8.6 percentage points over the past 24 hours.
- Claim ID
- 38d26f30-8662-4933-a60d-f9f120357477
- Status
- verified
- Issued
- Aug 20, 2026, 09:41 AM UTC
- Valid until
- Aug 23, 2026, 09:41 AM UTC
Observation
What was observed
The YES probability for Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on August 20? decreased by 8.6 percentage points over the past 24 hours.
Analysis
What the pattern supports
probability
Assessment
Open Signal’s judgment
derived
90% Claim confidence
Frozen with the published Claim version
No open question recorded
None recorded in this bundle
Evidence
Published evidence bundle
This content-addressed bundle was stored and read back before the Claim became publishable.
Open sealed evidencePrimary and supporting
captured at: 2026-08-20T09:41:58.441719+00:00 · external market id: 3565429 · resolution deadline at: 2026-08-20T16:00:00+00:00 · source market id: d255c000-8997-422e-98af-a2ccfb2be23a
Counterevidence
None recorded in this evidence role.
Method
Calculation and coverage
This Claim was assembled from 1 source. The page presents the stored result and never recomputes or silently updates the published judgment.
e13889b3-e314-4b6a-bcce-68a6a5d9d6fdLineage
Deterministic Observation
- Lineage ID
- deterministic-obs-v1
- Foundation model
- n/a
- Model version
- deterministic
- Charter
- os-011
History
Immutable public versions
The YES probability for Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on August 20? decreased by 8.6 percentage points over the past 24 hours.
deterministic observationResolution contract
Not applicable
This observation does not make a forecast that requires resolution.